Terra Studio

Vanishing Earth

How close are we to losing the planet's most vital ecosystems?

A capstone project from the Terra Studio exploring biodiversity tipping points

Earth's most critical ecosystems — coral reefs, rainforests, polar ice, coastal wetlands, and grasslands — are approaching dangerous thresholds. Beyond these tipping points, collapse becomes self-reinforcing and irreversible.

Scroll to explore five ecosystems on the edge.

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01

Coral Reefs

The rainforests of the sea are bleaching to death

Coral reefs support roughly a quarter of all marine species while covering less than one percent of the ocean floor. They are among the most sensitive ecosystems on Earth — even half a degree of excess warming can trigger mass bleaching events that turn vibrant reefs into bone-white graveyards.

Between 2023 and 2024, the world experienced its fourth global bleaching event, the most extensive ever recorded. Over 77 percent of reef areas worldwide experienced bleaching-level heat stress. Scientists warn that at 1.5°C of warming, 70 to 90 percent of reefs could vanish; at 2°C, the loss approaches 99 percent.

The collapse of reef systems would unravel food webs that half a billion people depend on for protein and livelihood, while exposing coastlines to the full force of storm surges that reefs currently buffer.

Reef area under severe threat0% degraded
Tipping range
0255075100
25%
Marine species supported
500M
People dependent on reefs
77%
Reef area bleached (2024)
02

Amazon Rainforest

The planet's lungs are approaching a point of no return

The Amazon generates up to half of its own rainfall through a vast recycling loop: trees pump moisture into the atmosphere, which falls again as rain hundreds of miles downwind. Deforestation breaks this cycle. Remove enough forest and the remainder dries out, fires spread, and the world's largest tropical rainforest begins converting into degraded savanna.

Scientists estimate the tipping point arrives when 20 to 25 percent of the original forest is cleared. As of 2024, roughly 17 percent has been lost — and another 17 percent is significantly degraded. Parts of the southeastern Amazon have already flipped from carbon sink to carbon source.

The Amazon stores an estimated 150 to 200 billion tonnes of carbon. Its collapse would release decades' worth of human emissions in a geological instant, accelerating warming worldwide.

Original forest cleared0% deforested
Tipping range
0255075100
150–200 Gt
Carbon stored
10%
Species found here
~50%
Own rainfall generated
03

Arctic Sea Ice

The white shield that keeps the planet cool is vanishing

Arctic sea ice acts as a giant mirror, reflecting up to 80 percent of incoming sunlight back to space. As it melts, the dark ocean beneath absorbs that energy instead, creating a feedback loop that accelerates warming far beyond the Arctic. This phenomenon — ice-albedo feedback — is a key reason the Arctic is warming nearly four times faster than the global average.

September sea-ice extent has declined by roughly 13 percent per decade since satellite records began in 1979. Multiple climate models now project ice-free Arctic summers as early as the 2030s — even under moderate emission scenarios. The 2024 minimum was among the lowest on record.

The loss of Arctic ice reshapes weather patterns across the Northern Hemisphere, destabilizes permafrost, threatens polar ecosystems, and opens feedback loops that make further warming increasingly difficult to reverse.

Summer ice volume lost since 19790% volume lost
Tipping range
0255075100
Warming rate vs global avg
13%
Decline per decade
~2030s
Ice-free summers projected
04

Mangroves & Wetlands

Earth's coastal armor is being stripped away

Mangrove forests form a living barrier between land and sea, absorbing wave energy, trapping sediment, and storing up to four times more carbon per hectare than tropical rainforests. They are nurseries for fish, shelters for biodiversity, and the first line of defense for hundreds of millions of coastal people during storms.

Since the 1980s, over 35 percent of the world's mangroves have been lost — cleared for aquaculture, coastal development, and agriculture. Although the rate of loss has slowed in some regions, other coastal wetlands including salt marshes and seagrass meadows continue to decline at alarming rates.

When mangroves are destroyed, the carbon locked in their dense, waterlogged soils is released. The loss of a single hectare of mangrove can emit as much carbon as three to five hectares of tropical forest cleared on dry land.

Global mangrove area lost0% destroyed
Tipping range
0255075100
Carbon storage vs rainforest
100M+
Coastal people protected
75%
Fish species nurseries
05

Grasslands & Savannas

The world's most converted biome hides in plain sight

Grasslands and savannas once covered roughly 40 percent of Earth's land surface. They are among the most productive ecosystems on the planet — their deep root systems store vast amounts of carbon underground, their soils filter water, and they support megafauna migrations that have shaped landscapes for millions of years.

Yet grasslands are the world's most imperiled and least protected biome. In North America alone, the Great Plains lose roughly 1.6 million acres per year to crop conversion. Across Africa, savanna ecosystems face compounding pressures from agricultural expansion, overgrazing, and shifting rainfall patterns driven by climate change.

Unlike forests, which can regrow from a clear-cut, grassland soils take centuries to rebuild once plowed. When these carbon-rich soils are broken, the carbon accumulated over millennia oxidizes and enters the atmosphere within years.

Original grassland converted0% converted
Tipping range
0255075100
40%
Earth's land surface
1.6M acres
Great Plains lost/year
Centuries
Soil carbon rebuild time